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Traditionally, the thinking regarding an Iran-Israel war was that the Iranian nuclear facilities scattered across the country would require a sustained air campaign to destroy - as some are embedded deep inside mountains. However Hezbollah's retaliation on Tehran's behalf (an extension of the IRGC based in Lebanon) would be devastating due to their large rocket arsenal and number of militants. Pairing that with direct Iranian strikes, and the cost simply becomes too high.
But now Israel is going after Iran's proxies voluntarily. Striking Hezbollah in Lebanon and targeting Iranian soldiers and facilities in Syria. Iran will certainly retaliate to Monday's consulate bombing in a calibrated manner. Anyways, if this leads to a regional war, does Israel stand much of a chance in terms of dismantling Iran's "Axis of Resistance" in Lebanon and Syria?
They have not been able to destroy Hamas after 6 months of fighting. And even then the group had poured its resources into 7 October, not defending its own territory, all while the war happens in the context of a siege that Israel can't inflict on the other proxies and while their military is locked down in Gaza anyways.
Thoughts?
submitted by /u/SessionGloomy
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But now Israel is going after Iran's proxies voluntarily. Striking Hezbollah in Lebanon and targeting Iranian soldiers and facilities in Syria. Iran will certainly retaliate to Monday's consulate bombing in a calibrated manner. Anyways, if this leads to a regional war, does Israel stand much of a chance in terms of dismantling Iran's "Axis of Resistance" in Lebanon and Syria?
They have not been able to destroy Hamas after 6 months of fighting. And even then the group had poured its resources into 7 October, not defending its own territory, all while the war happens in the context of a siege that Israel can't inflict on the other proxies and while their military is locked down in Gaza anyways.
Thoughts?
submitted by /u/SessionGloomy
[link] [comments]
Continue reading...
